SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: DebtBomb who wrote (259555)7/9/2010 11:33:10 AM
From: RetiredNowRead Replies (1) of 306849
 
No problem. I made a mistake in my math, though. The actual probability of going below standard deviation levels is as follows:

1 std dev = 16%
2 std dev = 2.2%
3 std dev = 0.1%

So it's half of the probability that I posted. WLI growth right now has just breached a level for which there was only a 16% probability. Interesting. I wonder if it will breach the 2 std dev level. If it did, then I don't know how anyone will be able to deny that a double dip is in the cards.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2026 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News