SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Moderated Thread - please read rules before posting
QCOM 174.78+0.1%3:59 PM EST

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: slacker711 who wrote (93206)7/20/2010 11:19:59 AM
From: Jim Mullens4 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) of 197032
 
Slacker, re: Morons / cash hoard / investment portfolio / Buffett-

An alternative / minority opinion

Part 1-

"The above numbers still dont explain the 95 cent GAAP number though...and that is because the GAAP numbers include the catastrophic (and moronic) losses that Qualcomm suffered in their investment portfolio. Can that happen again?

Unfortunately, the answer is yes. Page 27 of the link above shows a breakdown of Qualcomm's cash portfolio. If anything, the portfolio is actually more aggressive in October of '09 than October of '08. I dont think it can reasonably be expected that portfolio losses would get anywhere near the level of the financial crisis so I would still apply some discount to the '09 number, but clearly there are still some risks.

So basically, I think it is wrong to call the core Qualcomm businesses cyclical....…” however, the morons in charge of this company have made it so because of their passion for trying to extract every last dime out of their cash horde. A passion which has cost shareholders billions over the years.

I dont think I paid much attention to the breakdown in cash holdings when it was first published....however, now that I have, my only conclusion is that PJ and the entire financial team should be fired. I am sure they have done well over the last year with their returns, and I am also sure that it will eventually end badly. If I wanted a management to invest my money, I would go with Buffett….


>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

1) . ”If anything, the portfolio is actually more aggressive in October of '09 than October of '08.

…………….10/31/08…..10/31/09
Cash………45%..............28%
Bonds……..40%.............59%
Stocks……..15%.............13%

It may be more aggressive in the sense that there has been a significant move out of cash (money market securities with minimal returns… ( 0.5%) and into much higher yielding bonds. However, the stock position was reduced to 13% from 15%.

1.a) An allocation mix of 87% cash/ bonds v 13% stocks does not appear “aggressive” IMO.

1.b) Looking at the 1year returns of 2yr /5 year bonds funds (~2% - 4.9 %) vs <0.5 % on money market funds appears to be a positive move (non-moronic) IMO.

Quarterly Pre-Tax Returns1 as of 06/30/2010
Annualized Returns
Description 1 Year
06/2009 3 Year
06/2007 5 Year
06/2005 10 Year
06/2000 Inception
06/1987

DFFGX 4.94% 5.20% 4.42% 5.11% 6.19%

Short GovernmentMorningstar Category 4.30% 4.89% 4.04% 4.30% --

BofAML US Trsy/Agcs AAA 1-5 Yr TR USD2Broad-Based Index 4.04% 5.97% 4.85% 5.05%

Quarterly Pre-Tax Returns1 as of 06/30/2010
Annualized Returns1
Description 1 Year
06/2009 3 Year
06/2007 5 Year
06/2005 10 Year
06/2000 Inception
02/1996
DFGFX 1.90% 3.33% 3.59% 3.66% 4.34%
World BondMorningstar Category 8.81% 6.68% 4.78% 6.43% --
Citi WGBI 1-3 Yr Hdg USD2Broad-Based Index 1.98% 4.19% 4.01% 4.07%

1.c) My recollection is that a few years back Keitel / Granis and company were criticized for being too conservative in their “cash management” philosophy.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext