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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
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To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (48661)7/24/2010 12:48:30 AM
From: Sam1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 95622
 
TV semiconductor market to boom in 2010, says iSuppli
Press release; Jessie Shen, DIGITIMES [Friday 23 July 2010]
digitimes.com

Coming off a robust US$9.3 billion turn in 2009, the TV semiconductor space is headed for an even stronger year in 2010, finishing the year at US$12.2 billion, according to iSuppli.

"To support the various sophisticated features that today's consumers are demanding, LCD TVs are incorporating more semiconductor content, a phenomenon that will benefit the chip industry enormously in 2010 and beyond," said Randy Lawson, manager and principal analyst for display and consumer electronics at iSuppli. "Such a high-water mark (the first time revenues will pass the US$10 billion threshold) equates to an annualized growth level of approximately 29% for 2010, almost six times the 5.5% expansion rate posted by the market in 2009."

Chips used in LCD-TVs will ship in the greatest quantities during the next four years, far ahead of all other TV display technologies, according to iSuppli. In comparison, chip shipments will hold steady at the low 10,000 level for plasma, continue on a path of irreversible decline for CRT, and be all but nil by 2012 for rear-projection types.

High-end features, but not 3D, to drive growth

The single most lucrative portion and largest area of growth for the TV semiconductor market centers on the use of LED backlights for LCD TV panels, Lawson noted.

Compared to the old technology of CCFLs, LED backlights offer higher image contrast, lower power consumption and improved product styling by allowing a thinner panel profile. At present, more than 150 LCD TV models in the North American market alone feature LED backlighting, and the roster continues to grow, Lawson indicated.

As LED penetration deepens, LED-related semiconductor revenue will enjoy a corresponding surge in growth, rising from just US$400 million in 2009 to more than US$4 billion by 2014, according to iSuppli. All told, shipments of LED-backlit TVs are projected to hit 25 million units in 2010, an increase of more than 400% from 2009 shipment levels.

In addition to LED backlighting, a number of advanced television features will drive the TV semiconductor space in the years to come, Lawson said. These features include full HD 1080p resolution, Internet access, wireless connectivity and frame rate conversion to support 120Hz/240Hz playback, all of which will require the use of greater quantities of advanced video processor chips.

Surprisingly, 3D technology, despite the enormous publicity and hype surrounding this feature, is not expected to be a major growth driver for TV semiconductors, according to Lawson. Nonetheless, OEM and consumer interest in 3D-enabled models will spur faster penetration of 240Hz support in LCD TVs, due to the image crosstalk issue of current 3D solutions. And current initiatives by LCD TV manufacturers and panel suppliers to incorporate higher frame rates, such as 120Hz and 240Hz, will subsume onto the overall bill of materials the new additional functionality required by 3D technology.

"While 3D heralds a new era of advanced TV viewing for consumers, the technology itself will not significantly impact TV semiconductor revenue in general, or the market revenue for video processors in particular," Lawson remarked.

LEDs propel power IC revenues

The use of LED chips as a backlighting source for LCD TV panels is also a substantial factor driving growth in the power IC segment, Lawson noted.

As consumer concerns on TV energy use become increasingly important, manufacturers are meeting the challenge by designing more intelligent power supplies, audio-visual motherboards and electronics, all utilizing power ICs, to achieve greater power efficiencies as well as to satisfy the more restrictive power consumption guidelines that have been set by government regulatory agencies.

Revenues for power ICs is expected to increase to US$1.8 billion in 2010, up 38.5% from US$1.3 billion the year before, iSuppli data show, with growth to continue until at least 2012, when revenues hit US$2.5 billion. This represents one of the hottest growth segments of the semiconductor industry
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