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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Spekulatius who wrote (38650)7/30/2010 8:54:46 PM
From: gcrispin  Read Replies (1) of 78741
 
A couple of points:

Actually my 2.2 basis takes into account the 1:4 reverse split. My original shares were purchased in the .40-.50 range. One of the reasons I halved my position was because it getting to be a significant part of my portfolio.

"The question with all these capital raises is if they can outrun the effects of dilution."

So far they have. My view is that the dilution, hasn't hurt the earnings to date. There have been a number of roll-ups in the last two or three years. Slide 10 in the presentation posted points out that they can purchase "non-operating production assets" because they have a bromine production license. The following quote is from the 10-K:

Each of the asset acquisitions described above was not in operation when the Company acquired the asset. The owners of each of the assets did not hold the proper license for the exploration and production of bromine, and production at each of the assets acquired had been previously halted by the government. With respect to the Factory No. 2, the assets had not been operational for nine months; with respect to Factory No. 3, the assets had not been operational for eleven months; with respect to Factory No. 4 and 5 , the assets had not been operational for fifteen months; with respect to Factory No. 6, the assets had not been operational for eighteen months; and with respect to Factory No. 7, the assets had not been operational for twelve months; and with respect to Factory No. 8, the assets had not been operational for thirteen months

Certainly this isn't organic growth, but there is a "value-added" boost to purchasing non-operational assets and bringing them into operation with their license.

"I would prefer to see some organic growth as well with their existing assets."

Furthermore, there is organic growth in the chemical division of their company. Slide GFRE 11 indicates that chemicals is becoming an increasing share of their total revenues as they climb higher on the value-chain. Slide 15 shows that they are increasing their lines of production in the chemical division. Of particular note is the fourth line of production for wastewater treatment chemicals.
Below is the PR when they announced the line in January.

faqs.org

If the numbers in the PR pan out--and the revenue numbers from this line could be significant-- there will be plenty of organic growth in the chemical division.
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