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Strategies & Market Trends : Shorting SPY for fun and profit.

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To: Pancho Villa who wrote (49)11/8/1997 2:44:00 PM
From: Premier  Read Replies (1) of 346
 
Pancho,

First on .18% cost. SPDR(SPY) is 25 year trust and pays quarterly dividends. A new trust is created at moments notice as demand requires. .18% is the annual cost of maintaining the trust. NAV of the trust is somewhere in between the bid and ask spread. Short term trader is not materially affected by .18%.

I have successfully used SPY, MDY, WEBS and a mutual fund RYNVX/RYOCX.
A variation to active management of indexing could be as follows:

When federal model suggests fair value invest in RYNVX.
When federal model suggests undervaluation invest in RYNVX on margin,
increase margin @10% rate. If S&P is undervalued by 10% use 10% margin, if S&P is undervalued by 20% increase margin to 20%, etc.
When federal model suggests 10% overvaluation switch to SPY. As overvaluation increases switch to cash in 1 to 5 ratio. At 30% overvaluation you will be in all cash and short SPY startegy may begin.

This is based on belief that DJ will be 30,000 in year 2010 and it will take a zig-zag path to that number. The startegy outlined above will easily beat S&P and is least expensive.

Comments welcom.

Regards

Premier
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