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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 422.21+1.9%Jan 12 4:00 PM EST

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (65607)8/20/2010 7:07:44 AM
From: carranza2  Read Replies (1) of 219286
 
Typical Stratfor know-nothingness.

When Begin destroyed Osirak, one of the internal arguments the Israeli government against doing the deed was that it was a temporary palliative and thus ineffective in the long run. This is the same argument Stratfor makes for the proposition that only US involvement will lead to a strike.

It ignores the realities. First, the US is not going to strike, especially if O! is President. Any student of US/Israel relations has to be convinced that they are at an all-time low since O! got elected. Why? O! is pro-Muslim and detests Israel. It is alone with respect to Iran. Actually, not completely alone as Israel can - irony of ironies - count more on Saudi support than American on the matter.

Second, the fact that even if a strike delays Iranian nukes only a few years, it is a risk history has shown is worth taking. Israel did not expect that Iraq's efforts would completely cease after Osirak was attacked. But they did. And even if Iran does not cease, there is a clear advantage in delaying the Iranians.

Stratfor is lame, as usual.
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