Just one more data point: WLI flat to slightly down, but growth rate flat to slightly up in the latest week.
WLI Growth Ticks Up
Reuters
August 20, 2010
businesscycle.com
(Reuters) - A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a 3-week low in the latest week, confirming the slow pace of the recovery, a research group said on Friday.
The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index fell to 120.8 in the week ending August 20 from 122 the previous week.
That was the lowest since July 23, when it was 120.7.
The index's annualized growth rate rose to minus 10 percent from minus 10.2 percent a week earlier. That was the highest since July 9, when it stood at minus 9.8 percent.
"With the WLI staying essentially flat for the last six weeks, following a nine-week plunge, it is premature to predict a new recession, though risks remain," said Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of ECRI. |
