> About the only good thing about derivatives is they don't add to debt directly, how about indirectly?
They sure do, and the contribution was substantial. Derivatives is risk shuffling, so, what was C was sold as AAA due to somebody's guarantee. Now, that someone was tied to a bunch of others through derivatives and nettings. Net-net, the defaulting crap was unloaded on the system with artificially high rating due to all the guarantees and attached derivatives. That allowed further debt expansion, which was for a while supported by rising asset prices, ones that Ben now is trying desperately to prop.
The reverse process of that is a domino effect through counterparty defaults, which is why all the bailouts. Due to that dynamics what used to be AAA and in reality B becomes C. You get the drift.
After 2008 the Fed and the US government guarantee everything, and things are not all that different in other developed nations, so..... this year we had cascading global SHTF scenario. So far so good, we were spared, but the debt expansion continues. -NG- |