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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread
VTI 335.03-2.0%Jan 20 4:00 PM EST

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To: Investor2 who wrote (5565)9/18/2010 9:47:23 PM
From: DD™2 Recommendations  Read Replies (3) of 10065
 
Excerpt...

"GARZARELLI: Well, we`ve been in a trading range for five or six months. Usually after the initial surge in a new bull market -- the market went up 70 percent for the S&P 500 after a recession -- the usual case is that the stock market goes into a trading range for six to 12 months. So that is normal. And every time that happens, there is talk about double dips. And I don`t see a double dip, therefore I think we`re going to come out of this trading range, which has been 1050 to 1150 for five or six months.

HUDSON: OK. So how high and how fast do you think this rally could come?

GARZARELLI: Well, my indicators have gone up from 67 percent to 82 percent which is quite bullish. The 100 percent is the maximum, so 82 percent is fairly good. Thirty percent would be a new bear market. I have earnings for 2011 at 86. The consensus now is at 95. So I`m way below the consensus and with the P/E normal of about 15, that gets us to 1300 on the S&P 500. What`s that, 15 percent?"

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