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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND)
ASND 201.08+2.6%3:59 PM EST

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To: Pullin-GS who wrote (22295)11/10/1997 11:20:00 AM
From: Harry Ehrlich  Read Replies (1) of 61433
 
Implied Volatilities

Again, my objective is to be in the correct position for this stock, be it long or short. I could use some help here. I have software that calculates implied volatility, based on 3 month t bill, options prices and current price. Currently options are clustered at 25 and 30. I have calculated the following implied volatilities based on calls:

Nov 25 85
Nov 30 24
Dec 25 80
Dec 30 81

I could use some help with interpretation. My take is as follows. The high volatility of 85 for the Nov 25 call could mean a reversal to the high side. The IV of 24 for the Nov 30 call seems normal and points to a price of 30 at expiration. But the high December volatilities say "watch out" to me. It would indicate reversals below 25.

Anyone that is familiar with implied volatility, please respond. Thanks.

Harry
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