Chris
Don't let it go to your head. The numbers are rigged to suggest the deems are in a stronger position than they are:
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Why doubt the numbers? Because, as political consultant Mike Murphy pointed out last night on Twitter, the sample is absurd. Including leaners, the breakdown between Democrats, independents, and Republicans was … 55/9/35. To put that in perspective for you, the exit poll sample in California from the 2008 presidential election was 42/28/30. For the Boxer/Fiorina numbers to be right, you have to believe that, in this year of the big red wave, somehow California Democrats and left-leaning indies are way more motivated to vote than they were at the height of Hopenchange with Obama at the top of the ticket. Anyone seriously believe that? That said, while the poll of polls has Fiorina within three, I’m a little worried that Boxer seems to have built a steady five- or six-point lead over the past few weeks even in polls with respectable samples. As hard as it is to believe, The One’s job approval rating in the state — even according to Rasmussen — is well over 50 percent, which makes me wonder if any Republican can win in California ever again. If 20 years of Boxer and two years of The One aren’t enough to get them to cast a protest vote, what is?
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