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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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From: aladin10/6/2010 11:01:02 AM
1 Recommendation   of 793955
 
Here's an intriguing straw in the wind from Salena Zito of the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, who says she's "traveled 6,609 miles, interviewed 432 people registered as or identifying with Democrats in 17 states, and written about scores of races for U.S. Senate and House seats and governors' mansions" in the course of her work on this year's campaign:

All along "blue highways," Americans spoke about their disappointment in the change they so proudly supported in 2008--some whispering for fear of being labeled racist, some shouting at tea party rallies.

"Some whispering for fear of being labeled racist." Remember the "Bradley effect"? This was the theory--named for Tom Bradley, the 1982 Democratic nominee for California governor--that voters in polls were predisposed to overstate their support for black candidates for fear of being thought racist otherwise.

It's debatable whether the Bradley effect ever actually existed, and it certainly didn't materialize in 2008. But given the vehemence with which Democrats and the media have accused Obama's critics of racism, Zito's anecdotal report makes us wonder if current polls, as dismal as they look for the Dems, may be overstating support for the president and his party.

Excerpt from: online.wsj.com

As a result - my vote is:

House - 80
Senate - 12
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