Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (11676)	10/22/2010 1:27:11 PM
From: livelongandprosper	1 Recommendation Read Replies (2) of 222219

GZ: your hunch is more than correct. McClellan Financials proposed a 21 months lead time of 10 year tnotes to the US$ index. This is obviously not exact and only a qualitative correlation. BUT if we saw the generational low in tbonds & tnote yields in December 2008, we could see an important low in the US$ index around August 2010. However, there is also a correlation to the 3 month tbill yield and that is not yet fullfilled, so it may take another 2 - 2.5 years. In any case the commodity bull market is getting long in the tooth and will not last for too many more years. Not a good idea to go to Australia right now if you ask me.

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