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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets!
LRCX 155.00-5.0%3:59 PM EST

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To: Sam Citron who wrote (3328)11/11/1997 1:13:00 AM
From: molemania  Read Replies (2) of 10921
 
So the fear is both overcapacity and SE Asia at the moment? If SE Asia can't fund the fabs in the near future, wouldn't basic economics dictate that some other region (Europe, Latin America...) will take up the slack, assuming there is still good demand for chips? I am sure it is not that simple. Also, EGLS is holding up fairly well. Is that because it is so close to book or that they don't have SE Asia exposure or something else?

Thanks
Dave

from 10/24

UBS Securities Inc. analyst Mark FitzGerald lowered his
investment ratings on much of the equipment sector due to fears
that the Asian currency crisis will lead to capital spending cuts
among Japanese, Korean and Taiwanese chip-makers. Those
companies, which include Samsung Electronics Co., Toshiba
Corp. and NEC Corp. (NIPNY), account for a combined 54% of
total worldwide spending on semiconductor equipment in 1997,
he said.

Asian chip companies, he believes, have built up too much
production capacity. The glut of equipment will likely reduce
demand for the sophisticated semiconductor gear from
KLA-Tencor, Applied Materials and others within the next six to
12 months, he predicted.

"We've overspent," FitzGerald said. "There's too much capacity
out there."
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