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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs

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To: DuckTapeSunroof who wrote (47119)	11/12/2010 2:29:34 PM
From: TimF	Read Replies (1) of 71588

Maybe they are toys or tricks. They are also polls. They are polls by common use, by multiple dictionary definitions, and even by the usage of most pollsters or polling experts (who call them "unscientific polls"). Words have meanings, if your try to be like Humpty Dumpty and have them mean whatever you choose them to mean, you harm your communication with the rest of the world. Getting back to the original point, they may be unscientific as polls, but elections aren't worse at determining people's preferences than rigorous scientific polls; in this case the election showed more evidence of strong disapproval of Obama's policies, than the most similarly timed election showed disapproval of Reagan's policies. Going even further back to the point you initially raised (about Obama's poll numbers looking similar to Reagan's), they have at times been very similar, and may be similar now, but shortly after this point in his presidency Reagan's numbers started to move solidly upwards. There isn't any good reason to think Obama's numbers will improve to the same extent, in fact they may not improve at all.

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