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Strategies & Market Trends : Dividend investing for retirement

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From: Steve Felix	11/12/2010 5:57:55 PM
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A thought or two on yield average used as portfolio management. I always look at these kinds of things. Human nature to look for an "edge". Curious if this is verified anywhere: "He sells when the yield gets down to the historical range. He buys when the yield gets up to the high historical range." Hope this doesn't sound wrong, but "Show me the Money". We all make mistakes as in C going from $55 to $29 in 2007: "Top Picks 2007: Kelley Wright banks on Citi for safety" bloggingstocks.com "First, it's not only undervalued, it's trading almost 71% below its historic undervalued dividend yield of 2.20%. In dollar terms, the stock can appreciate $37 to $89 and still represent excellent historic value! A cursory look at Investment Quality Trends shows a flaw to me. iqtrends.com I don't know how the next ten years will play out. I don't know anyone who said in 1993 that the S+P would go from 435 to 1469 by Jan 1st. 2000. I feel pretty sure that if the next ten years are like the last ten, with the S+P back to 1200 from the previous 1469, IQT will do well. As a whole, dividend stocks should shine. However, if it isn't, IQT will again trail the market, part of the reason being that they will take themselves out of positions by following their yield model. While the bull ran from 1993 to 1999 IQT trailed the S+P every year. Sometimes by large margins. According to their web site they cover 300 stocks. I would like to be able to compare buy and hold of those 300 since 1993 vs. what they have done.

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