C2, I never go with what might happen, only with what's happening, because I am genuinely clueless. What's happening at this time is QE to infinity. I agree with Acting Man, it might change in the future. Once or if it happens, the Fed will let us know.
For example, I got bearish in March this year because the Fed was scheduled to stop QE1. QE2 or QE lite could be announced at any time, but I stayed bearish until August when QE2 actually started happening. I expected a sorta flash crash because of lack of printing at some point after QE1 stopped. Not expecting it now. Again, no crystal ball to infinity -g-
With these managed markets anything can happen! You kinda have to track what the market managers do and plan, if you want to play these "free" markets. I choose to leave the playground in stocks, for that very reason. You are essentially playing a rigged game, so odds are against you. One needs to stay afloat and lose the least amount of money in real terms in this very ugly economy. Don't sing high praise to gold. If you are long gold and made a few clownbucks, you didn't make anything, you just lost nothing and you will still get taxed on it -g- |