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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: Drygulch Dan who wrote (298927)12/19/2010 1:47:22 PM
From: John VosillaRead Replies (1) of 306849
 
'So Patron, Is the RE Crash finally over ? Or do we have to sit through more of the same in 2011 ? I remember Calculatedrisk's chart showing more loans hitting the wall in 2011.'

Glad to see the rare sighting of an on topic post. This is a very long cycle and if you look at the previous bust from about 1986-96 it varied by region, property type even price range last time and the same thing is happening this time. Maybe we are entering the equivalent of 1993 when the higher end of coastal CA and the northeast were falling hard but many areas had bottomed? In Florida we fell harder and very fast through 2008..It was a stunning fall within two years if you blinked and didn't pay attention in.. Prices in general have been stable for a very long time though a few less speculative areas did drop further even into 2009 but the percentages were minor in the big picture and we are on average in the sixth inning in clearing out the distressed property and putting it into stronger hands. I have really been amazed that some condo communities with 80-90% drops have already cleared out the majority of those 2003-07 vintage loans to mostly all cash buyers for $20-40k by now...I think most on this board blinked and missed what has been taking place in ground zero markets<g>
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