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Politics : I Will Continue to Continue, to Pretend....
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To: Sully- who wrote (34979)12/27/2010 4:24:15 AM
From: Sully-1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) of 35834
 
OK, I'm sitting here scratching my head. I just watched a special on The Weather Channel about the 10 worst disasters of 2010.

The #1 DISASTER for 2010 was the record year making this year, depending on the last few days, anywhere from the 3rd hottest year on record to the hottest ever [according to them].

So call me a skeptic. I know that 2010 began with an already rip snortingly cold winter already in place in huge swaths of North America, Europe & Russia that lasted until early March.

I know South America saw one of their coldest winters ever.

I know that the coldest temperature ever recorded on this planet was during 2010 [meaning that the entire region had to be off the charts below normal for an extended period to achieve an all time record cold temp].

I know that for the last 5-6 weeks of 2010 huge swaths of North America & Europe have seen more rip snortingly cold temps with no let up.

I know that the region I live in has been no where near normal temps overall this year. Not even close.

I know enough about statistics to know that for 2010 to be among the 3 hottest years on record you'd have to overcome all of the above well below normal temps [plus a zillion other unmentioned large swaths of the globe with below to normal temps for moderate to long periods this year]. In fact, you'd need an unprecedented amount of well above average temps occur over an unprecedented amount of the planet for an unprecedented amount of time to bring the global average into the 3 hottest years on record.

Oh, I also know from personal experience that The Weather Channel almost always predicts higher temps than actually occur. They regularly report higher highs & higher lows than an area actually experiences [EX - one reading will almost always seem out of place to the upside for the entire region & that temp counts as the high. The highest low is always counted instead of the lowest low as well]. Even cherry picking like that is NOT sufficient for this to be among the 3 hottest years on record.

So maybe I'm not a skeptic. Perhaps more of a realist :-)
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