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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: E_K_S who wrote (40869)12/30/2010 1:23:23 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (2) of 78664
 
VQ: AFAIK, they are still producing off-shore. Moratorium maybe for new drilling. I don't know. Betting on Monterey would be for on-shore success (imo).

Enterprise value: $1.69B

NAV, as best I can tell from company, is $1.67B

Company says (p. 27 of recent presentation): "Total Proved Reserves per fully diluted share...= $15.65", which leads me to believe that nav is 1pnav10=$1.67B. 2pnav would then be higher.

Company seems to proceed at its own pace in development of Monterey. Maybe they're hanging back a little waiting for OXY to prove out the play. OTOH, VQ have other producing properties, so I guess they have to allocate capital to these too.

I'm figuring I'll have to hold the stock (VQ) a couple years to see how things develop. No hurry to buy now, except that oil prices seem to be moving up (VQ with its hedges may or may not be affected), and interest in shale plays seems to be getting stronger (or I'm too involved to see situation clearly). (Aside: I respect Mr. Dingman's opinions, and I try to watch him when he's on Bloomberg TV.)
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