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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs
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To: DuckTapeSunroof who wrote (47468)1/4/2011 5:43:10 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) of 71588
 
Polls aren't everything, or even the most important thing.

Also polls showing a similar downward trend, when the previous example reversed the trend dramatically, hardly show that the later example is likely to do so.

Also the early trend for Jimmy Carter was similar to the early trend for Obama, its not just Reagan and Obama who have similar lines. If your only going by polling trends Obama might be Carter just as easily as Reagan. (BTW its not a universal trend for all modern presidents, the early part of the trend line for those three look similar, but all the other post WWII presidents have very different looking lines.)

Edit - In fact looking at the lines again, Obama's is closer to Carter's than to Reagan's. Reagan starts off at a lower point, and then increases before declining (before later increasing again by a lot, but after the point in his presidency where we are now with Obama)
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