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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 408.24+2.3%4:00 PM EST

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (70758)2/2/2011 12:08:13 AM
From: carranza2  Read Replies (1) of 218657
 
I doubt we will see more Tunisian contagion except perhaps in Jordan.

SArabia is too rich. Any revolutionaries can be bought off. They have already been shipped off to some ungodly places, mainly Afghanistan, where they can help the Taliban and such and not be too bothersome. Plus, there is genuine cachet in the Saudi royal family being the keepers of the holy places. No one wants to mess too much with that.

Iran is ripe for contagion but they just went through a spell of it and not much happened. The Mad Mullahs seem to wield a winning hand.

Syrians still no doubt remember what Assad's father did the last time there was a revolt - he used his artillery to level a city. About 25K were killed. If I recall, that was in the '70s, but I am sure the memory is there.

Jordan might get a whiff of contagion but the Hashemite royals are fairly popular.

If you want contagion, I think it can be found in Europe. I think the real contagion is in Spain and Ireland, esp. Eire, where elections will take place soon. They are off media radar for now, but not for long.

I still maintain the action is in the EuroZone. It seems very, very odd that the Euro is so high against the USD.
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