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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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From: leboeuf2/16/2011 5:54:05 PM
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First post for me here.

On SVU: obviously debt is high, but it seems it should be manageable for the next few years. I would though add pensions as an additional liability as it was underfunded by $762M in the last 10K. They also need to contribute to "multi-employer" pension plans, which seem to be off the books (and also underfunded), so pensions are a big obligation (though not short-term) relative to market cap and even EV.

Operationally, same store comps are terrible and seem very low for a product as basic as food. Seems like at one point, high negative comps would have to stop. That being said, SVU gave a gross margin of 27% in the retail segment, which should be even higher for the traditional business (excluding Save-a-lot). SWY has margins of 28-29%, while KR 22-23%. SWY remodelled its store base so it might be better placed to charge higher prices. I am thinking KR might be the more appropriate comparable. With an EBIT margin of around 3-4% at SVU, how does SVU keep cutting prices to match the competition? Any thoughts on this?
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