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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Post-Crash Index-Moderated

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To: MulhollandDrive who wrote (10817)3/9/2011 7:21:07 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor3 Recommendations  Read Replies (3) of 119360
 
Gold at 2500....chart it, long term trendline....assumes some additional kick for QE 1-2-(3?). Does assume dollar will break support in low 70's and head on down to mid-30's. NGD at those POG levels will have EPS of minimum of 3-3.50/sh in 2012 with a 30 PE for being in growth sector, gives price projection of 100. NGD will probably make well over a dollar in 2011, so that's a stretch, but they benefit from increasing silver/gold/copper AND increased production. Silver is a bit more iffy, but presuming the 2500 level is correct a simple 25:1 gold:silver price ratio would give 100 (could be much higher of course).

A touch on the upper tine of the forks will give us 2500 easily in 2012. It's long overdue. Any exogenous event could bring it (unrest in Saudi, terrorism, yet another black swan).

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