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Strategies & Market Trends : Beat The Street With SI Traders

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To: Postman who wrote (74250)3/15/2011 12:51:44 PM
From: E. Charters  Read Replies (1) of 233879
 
What I want to hear is they have a plan that might work. Not, "The water is not rising in the containment and we are not sure why."

Waiting for the meltdown that they "cannot rule out" is just soooo exciting.

Have they modeled that one? The Cesium 137 and Iodine 131 cloud over Alaska to California? Is anyone telling people what may happen there? This will make Three Mile Island look like a fire drill at PS 139.

I think people had better look at the "What if". They don't want to go there as they don't want to panic the population. There is very little the population can do except move to desert areas and dry valleys, like Kamloops et al and take herbs and vitamins that reduce radiation damage. I would give the meltdown and release of radiation an 8 to 5 chance of happening. I think it is time to plan for that. If you are wrong, you can always move back to town and stop taking pills. Not much lost there.

Putting emergency generators where they can flood if the sea wall was breached was as hare brained and short sighted as design flaws have ever been. All we hear is "we hope that won't happen", instead of "we will do X if that happens." Low ground emergency generators. What was their idea? They would float? Like Japan has never had a Tsunami before. Like a Tsunami cannot breach a sea wall? This is nuclear disaster folks. Design strong and backed-up. Costs too much? How much does 1 million cancer deaths cost? More than collecting fly ash and scrubbing a coal plant exhaust for heavy metals? So it will add 1 cent/KW to the cost of electricity? I would pay it gladly not to die at 33 from leukemia or thyroid cancer.

ANYTHING THAT CAN GO WRONG WILL GO WRONG. Hello! Obviously you have surface flex lines and fire proof hose to deploy to attach to emergency ports in the containment in earth quake zones. Obviously you have 24 hours of cooling water in an earthquake proof pond, lined with flex material to feed the reactor if pumps fail. Same short sightedness of design led to failure of sprinkler system in the buildings at 911 ground zero. There should have been lawsuits there. If pumps fail, no water to sprinklers. The pumps ALWAYS fail. Electricity ALWAYS goes out. Hello.

As Mark Twain said, "First God created idiots."

China wants to build 24 reactors. Granted they are Candus, but this sounds like another hurry-up and eff-up program. They should stop and think. Granted coal is burying them in smog.

It appears it is only a matter of time until even the Candus get too old eff up or someone bury a critical design flaw or makes the equipment substandard. Do you want Chinese equipment in a Candu? The whole thing about Candus is that the CDN engineers rebuilt just about every piece contractor's stuff. The reactor all depends on hyper-designed and implemented rebuilds and redesigns/inventions of all the stuff in the reactor building from Babcock Wilcox pressure vessels to GE gensets to material in the core itself, to bearings to valves to sensors. Some vertical generators bearings have been running for 50 years. It's all original engineering and secret beyond state of the art tested and retested systems whose failure rate is unprecedentedly low. Candu reactor systems have failure rates 100 times lower than standard industrial equipment. And possibly ten times lower than US equipment. All systems can be tested on line. This was not the case at Chernobyl or three mile island. There are three back ups in every system in a Candu. Will the Chinese implementations match this? Will they even understand the need for certain systems? I doubt it. Heaven help us if they try to improve it.

Have they thought about wind and sea power? Geothermal? Hamsters in cages? Anything but nukes from now on. Even the fixes of old reactors are not enough. Even the new approaches and redesigns are not satisfactory.

EC<:-}
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