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Technology Stocks : COMS & the Ghost of USRX w/ other STUFF
COMS 0.00130-18.8%Nov 7 11:47 AM EST

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To: Dwight E. Karlsen who wrote (9211)11/14/1997 12:35:00 PM
From: Valentino  Read Replies (2) of 22053
 
Re: High Inventories: My Read

My hypothesis goes like this:
To win the standards battle, USRX wanted to get as many X2 modems in distribution channels as fast as possible. This would accomplish: 1, preempt Rockwell;2, jump start the installed base for X2;3, motivate the distributors;4, influence the ISPs.
This aggressive strategy was the correct response to the looming X2/FLEX standards fight. It's downside; if the standards fight was drawn out, high inventories. This is what we are seeing today. I take issue with the innuendo (NY Times)being spread that somehow this inventory problem is a result of USRX's sinister motives to falsify
sales figures and pump up their income statement to raise their acquisition price. What is evident is that once the high inventories became a problem, COMS/USRX used accounting slight-of-hand to minimize
the damage. I think it would have been extremely short sighted for Eric B. to have immediately announced that X2 modems weren't selling as well as anticipated. Can you imagine how many ISPs would have committed to FLEX after that kind of annoucement.
My point here is that COMS management is sound. They're not a bunch of sleazeballs as Greenberg and the NY Times would have us believe.

Valentino
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