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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (92795)4/19/2011 12:24:49 AM
From: Vitas  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
I am just catching up to the markets after going to three consecutive Red Sox games, and filing my IRS tax extensions. Whew.

I would love to add a fundamental analysis to technical analysis. I am most intrigued by any kind of analysis that would have prevented getting caught in the 2008 - 2009 plunge.

At this particular point, I ran my MF experimental numbers after the close and I still see no reason to get invested long.

My WAG, as opposed to a "guess" which might be an actual hint in my terminology, is that at this point of the annual seasonal cycle the ultimate Fibonacci number may be 2x, a double since the March, 2009 bottom, and that it would really take something very strong to take the markets another 10% above that before this fall, maybe after October. BWDIK, I have no clue, I am 100% in cash at this time.
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