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Gold/Mining/Energy : Verde Agritech

NPK.TO 1.040

-2.8%

3:59 PM EST

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To: not_prudent who wrote (6807)	4/24/2011 5:51:30 PM
From: eucalypt	6 Recommendations Read Replies (2) of 16592

"...Whether or not the stuff works won't take rocket science to prove. Coming up with a test construct for a controlled environment is something that a bright grad student should be able to do." Field trials are not subject to "a controlled environment". Don't kid yourself! Agricultural and forestry trials are bedevilled with difficulties. You can't simply plant four fields and put something different in each field. There can be significant, but not necessarily obvious, differences both between and within fields. It is all too easy to believe that unambiguous outcomes (even the obvious outcomes many of us were anticipating) will jump out of the page from such trials. Industry-driven trial such as the Sekita agronomic trials are at the whim of others. Sekita may not have the vested interest, patience and expertise to undertake this in a fully rigorous manner. These trials may or may not stand up to rigorous review. At this stage we don't know anything. Maybe a bright grad student could come up with something. However the mix of skills required and the complexity of the analysis would fox most of them. Further, how do you allow for seasonal/climate related events that will be different in every trial? One trial over 3 months in one particular year tells you very little. In my experience, engineers and those form the physical sciences (as opposed to biologically-centred scientists) have very little understanding of what is involved. My pragmatic position is that the basic science says the TK process is OK, but you will never get a definitive answer from a single 3-month trial on carrots! I have no concern regarding such trials. They are needed and will always be a mixed bag. I am sorry that AMZ failed to provide even a simple commentary on the Sekita trial. That may come... or not. Since the trial was managed and funded by another party AMZ shareholders may not see the trial data. There is likely to be some selling amongst the impatient and once the hold period for the private placements expires in May. No worries for long-term investors.

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