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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold & Gold Stock Analysis
GLD 399.01+0.1%Dec 19 4:00 PM EST

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To: Tommaso who wrote (24362)4/29/2011 3:13:38 PM
From: carranza26 Recommendations   of 29622
 
After long reflection, it seems that the problem with miners at the moment - but only at the moment - is precisely what is enriching us via the gold price.

If that sounds vague, it is because it is. What I meant is that the surge in the price of PMs like the one we have seen must be perceived warily by folks who invest in miners because miners are dependent on the future prices of metals. A cautious fund manager probably wants to see the rise in PMs become more established before making a major commitment to miners, no matter how good they may be. Buying a high flying miner that crashes with the price of PMs is probably not good for a fund manager's career......so they hold off buying. If there is any thought that the PM surge will cool down or reverse, then a fund manager would be crazy to buy miners. Sure, some are, but not enough to take the prices to the heights implied by the present prices.

If you believe the PMs move is real and sustainable, as I do, that also implies that it is just a matter of time before the miners go ballistic.
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