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Biotech / Medical : Ligand (LGND) Breakout!
LGND 199.20+0.1%Nov 21 3:59 PM EST
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To: Henry Niman who wrote (11190)11/15/1997 6:56:00 PM
From: CYBERKEN  Read Replies (1) of 32384
 
When AMLN's trial results came out I sold. It wasn't because I thought that they couldn't get approval; but that pramlintide, once approved, would have a very difficult time showing patients and their doctors any real value for the money spent (there's that BUSINESS angle again!). Better trial results later could change that. Now, however, it looks like the news is getting worse for the next year or so. The point is that this is the typical risk in investing in biotech development companies. Even Ligand may see this at some point-though the difference is that they are much more diversified.

The lesson here is that biotech investors who experience this have to accept it and just move on or one day they will lose their remaining capital. I don't understand what any of them gain by moving to other threads and bashing other investors. Despite the cost, the lesson learned from an AMLN is valuable and can make you a more successful investor-but only if you are open-minded enough to understand the lesson.

FWIW-I think Ligand goes up from here, as the wash periods from October start to run out and last month's sellers start to buy back positions. Also, I still am convinced that this is a short-term bottom for the sector and we will see a rally in biotech very soon.
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