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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: Jack Clarke who wrote (9768)11/15/1997 10:44:00 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
Iam pretty sure that there's no closed-end fund like BEARX.

But you could get the same effect by shorting a closed-end technology fund. If you could borrow the shares.

I went looking recently for a suitable closed-end that was selling at a premium to the market that I could short, but nothing seemed quite right.

Years ago I did very well (1974-1982) trading closed-ends long when they were at very deep discounts to the market. I would have done best just to buy and hold. I did do the experiment about 1978 of putting $25 into each of a wide array of closed-ends through the Merrill Lynch sharebuilder program. With reinvestment of dividends some of these are now worth nearly $200, or an 800 percent gain. Others did not do so well. But on the whole my original $250 portfolio is worth about $1500. I did this just to get all their quarterly and annual reports.

If I had only just put all my assets into the same funds and left them there, I would be much more wealthy. Proves the buy-and-hold for a long bull market.

I am pretty confident now about the bear and about BEARX.

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