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Pastimes : Ask Mohan about the Market

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To: Cynic 2005 who wrote (8266)11/17/1997 2:01:00 PM
From: Defrocked  Read Replies (1) of 18056
 
Well, the DJIA is now up 150, the sun is shining and
everything's smelling like roses. All the risk must
have dissipated???

To refresh some memories around here, consider the
last time the Japanese massively intervened in their
markets: October 2, 1990-- up 13.2%-- to 22,898.41. The
Nikkei then peaked around 26,500 or so in May of '91
and has fallen ever since to today's intervention levels.

Market intervention failed in 1990 and will probably fail
again in 1997 without meaningful balance sheet restatements.


FWIW, I remain very cautious and skeptical.
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