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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 261.90+0.4%Dec 26 9:30 AM EST

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To: Jeff Maresh who wrote (1828)9/13/1996 9:16:00 AM
From: Jimmy Liao   of 70976
 
Jeff, I disagree with 2 of your contentions (but still not a bad batting average for you)...

6. The layoffs were mostly in manufacturing. As you pointed out, AMAT is still selling and delivering a lot of systems that need to be supported. Each system that was delivered during the recent boom still carries a minimum of 1 year in support warrantys. In view of the fact that AMAT has tripled its manufacturing floor space in the last couple of years, the layoff was prudently focused.

7. Unfortunately, memory is a very large part of the semiconductor business. Most of the $1B plus fabs built in the past few years have been DRAM houses- all of the business from Korea, and most of the business from Japan and Taiwan. Domestically, Micron, IBM, and TI account for huge pieces of the semiconductor pie. Also, most of the logic business is intimately tied to the memory business because of the PC business. The industry wide slowdown proves this point. One of my indicators, a memory warehouse, has just lowered its high-end memory prices again by another 10%, so the decline continues in the short term.
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