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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing
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To: AnthonyD who wrote (43326)7/14/2011 3:23:15 PM
From: Spekulatius1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 78652
 
Anthony - this sounds like a steep drop. I am sure you are aware that Silver is produced mostly a byproduct in mines that have another primary product. As such, you only get the natural decline (which usually is alleviated by mine extension projects if prices are favorable) but not the inevitable by-production of Silver that results from the startup of mines targeted other ores.

Since silver is a byproduct, it's going to be difficult to estimate the silver production from mines starting up, but I am sure it's going to be substantial. As such, i think your estimate overshoots on the production decline.
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