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Technology Stocks : Micron Only Forum
MU 265.92+7.0%Dec 19 9:30 AM EST

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To: DavidG who wrote (24199)11/17/1997 10:52:00 PM
From: Ed Beers  Read Replies (2) of 53903
 
<<As far as "test equipment woes" I don't know where you get the idea I did not want to address. I did't consider it since I thought that
it was resolved early this quarter. There really is no reason
to think that b/c they had problems last quarter means every quarter afterwards they will have it. If you are privy to something than
just tell us. Also, I thought 50-50 for SDRAM and Larry heard 40
for SDRAM if you have anything concrete to contribute to that
number than lets hear it. >>

David, They were well into the quarter when they had the conference
call and they were still addressing the problem then. I assume that
their test problem is a combination of increased unit volume along
with SDRAM obsoleting some or most of their existing test equipment.
The solution is to buy and install more testers.

While testers have shorter lead times than say steppers, the lead
time is still very long if you have wafers piling up on the test
floor. Everybody is ramping SDRAM so demand for these tester is
probably fairly high. This is complicated equipment which takes a
while to install and has to be integrated with other equipment (
wafer probers, package handlers, ...) so you don't just plug it into the wall and go either.

During the conference call, they talked about the ramp of SDRAM wafer starts. The ramp of SDRAM volume into test and assembly will lag
wafer starts by several weeks and actual sales lag that.

Maybe the test guys have it all under control or maybe they are being
buried under a rising tide of SDRAM wafers.

If test and assembly are under control, MU should be able to ramp to near 100% SDRAM very quickly. Assuming that they don't have contracts
requiring them to deliver EDO...

The guys in the factory have been executing really well for the last
year so I expect that the next conferece call will indicate that the
problem is largely solved looking forward. I would be very surprised
if it isn't a significant factor for this quarter though.
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