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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (438502)8/2/2011 8:38:22 AM
From: carranza27 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) of 793921
 
Growth isn't happening.

We need major structural reform, including a sea change in the economic premises we use.

The Keynesian ideas do not work, stimulus is dead. If we haven't learned that after putting interest rates at near zero for years and wasting umpteen billions on direct stimulus, then we are too stupid to deserve survival.

Keynesian economics work at the margins, under conditions where the markets perceive an economy as healthy on the whole but suffering from a temporary misstep. Where the rot is systemic, debt overwhelming and policy in shambles, no amount of stimulus will work. It will in fact make things worse because it has to be paid for.

It is relatively simple: stimulus comes at a price. The stimulus put in place in the last few years has indebted us considerably. Markets know this and refuse to participate in a healthy way in a sick organism because the risk of failure is too great.

The only thing that will work is painful: deleveraging on both a personal and governmental level. In a word, austerity, the kind of austerity we prescribe for others.

Isn't going to happen is my guess though the TP did an admirable job of focusing the nation's attention on a problem everyone else would rather ignore.

Gold up 20 as we speak as Bloomberg reporting Fed is considering more stimulus in face of negative consumption growth. Says it all, we are screwed.

Get gold.
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