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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room
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To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (155282)8/12/2011 4:56:06 PM
From: Jacob Snyder1 Recommendation  Read Replies (3) of 206085
 
recession watch:

1. S&P500 50dma just crossed below the 200dma
2. yield curve flattening; with ST rates at nil, the recent radical fall in LT rates is reducing the difference between them. This is a proven recession indicator. I'm guessing we don't get an inverted yield curve before the next recession, just because LT rates can't go negative
3. weak GDP growth, and
4. weaker consumer spending marketwatch.com
5. housing, which looked like it might be stabilizing, is threatening to start falling again. This would wipe out what remains of middle-class assets.
6. consumer discretionary has stopped outperforming consumer staples. This is a sign of an aging bull market, as investors get more defensive:
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