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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room
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To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (156576)9/7/2011 3:40:03 PM
From: Jacob Snyder1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) of 206085
 
Recession Watch: S&P500 profit margins:

seekingalpha.com

Trend in margins, tends to lead stock prices. So, we should have seen a fall in margins, before the market fell.

The other trend in margins, is a powerful Reversion To The Mean. That is, margins make a random walk within a range; they don't go up (or down) forever. Any move outside the historical range, should be expected to Revert. Examples would be early 2000, 2007, late 2008, and today. Any move below 4%, or above 9%, won't last long.
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