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Biotech / Medical : Momenta Pharmaceuticals Inc.
MNTA 52.480.0%Oct 2 5:00 PM EST

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To: idos who wrote (2837)9/24/2011 8:32:13 AM
From: IRWIN JAMES FRANKEL   of 3027
 
>>Their profit will probably be cut in a lot more than half soon.

Yep.

>>Since Amphastar is approved seems much more reasonable that others will follow and an AG too.

My guess is we see the AG very soon - before the WPI launch.

>>So not only MNTA's royalties will be cut also the drug's price plus smaller market share for each one.

Yep.

WPI+AG and the US total market goes to ~$1.8B, throw in tL and call it $1.5B.

One analyst values the revenue stream of mL at $1.67 ps. Going from earning a buck/Q to the total value of the stream at $1.67 is a huge hit. I doubt the hit is that big.

ij
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