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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 375.93-1.8%4:00 PM EST

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (81180)10/10/2011 9:23:54 PM
From: bart13  Read Replies (1) of 217759
 
I was there and the count is legion but some of the key ones were:

  • M3 annual growth rate had been falling since 1971 (16%) and was down to under 8% in early 1975
  • Total credit annual growth rate peaked at ~15% in mid 1973, was under 10% in Jan 1975 and finally bottomed in early '76 at around 5%
  • 'Too far, too fast' (but not a bubble as the next few years showed)
  • IMF and other CB sales
  • The recession from 11/73 was still going and didn't end until 4/75
  • The Yom Kippur war was long over and things appeared much calmer in the ME
  • The huge jump in oil prices had slowed very considerably
  • Gasoline had stabilized at .50-.60 per gallon and there were no more gas lines
  • President Ford had been in about 4 months and the Nixon/Watergate crud was calming
  • The US was on the way out of Vietnam, Saigon fell in April 1975
  • MSM articles about how worthless gold was compared to stocks, bonds, etc.


They key one to me as a trader though is that it became legal to own gold in the US on Jan. 1, 1975 - virtually the exact temp top... and as good an example of contrary opinion and excess bullish sentiment as exists.
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