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Strategies & Market Trends : Speculating in Takeover Targets
ULBI 6.750-1.7%Nov 7 9:30 AM EST

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To: richardred who wrote (2914)10/12/2011 12:11:58 PM
From: Grantcw  Read Replies (1) of 7243
 
I wish it was my biggest disaster this year! :) I've for some reason had several. Nothing earth shattering, but not a good year for me, especially compared to the last two.

Yes, I like the orphan drug status. I'm no expert, but I also think that it's not really a drug that generic companies would be really trying to jump into. There's side-effect potential and not a lot of patients.

But, I'm hoping SVNT is about to get a J code for KRYSTEXXA for the new year, which hopefully will get a ramp up going. The thing is, at $50k/year, there's not a lot of patients needed to justify this market cap. I think the word is out there after the last year of salesmen being out on the road. And my hunch is that the drug is still working pretty well for a limited number of patients. So, my view is that it's just a high-price issue, and once we get that figured out with the insurance, I think we're in business to at least get a few thousand clients, which will justify the market cap. I think DNDN is running into the same issues.

And there's Europe as you mentioned. I think there's decent hope for this one, and they should have the cash to play out the ramp-up. We'll see though...

-Grant
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