Big PC makers upbeat about fourth quarter
Reuters, Wednesday, November 19, 1997 at 14:02
By Therese Poletti LAS VEGAS, Nov. 19 (Reuters) - The biggest PC makers are upbeat about the fourth quarter, as skittishness about Asia is being offset by improvements in Europe and sub-$1,000 PCs are expected to bring a big boost to the consumer PC business. Computer industry executives at the COMDEX computer trade show in Las Vegas were generally optimistic about what is normally the biggest quarter of the year and seemingly unfazed by the recent current crisis in many Asian countries. While the ultimate impact of the currency crises in Asia is still to be determined, some executives said demand in Asia is now slowing down as a result. But two other positive factors may offest some negatives due to the slowing Asian economies. "We have strong order growth in Europe right now," said Earl Mason, chief financial officer of Compaq Computer Corp., (NYSE:CPQ) the world's leading PC maker, based in Houston. Mason said many corporations in Europe are starting to focus on the so-called Year 2000 problem and are revamping systems to avoid the software glitch that is expected to strike older computers when they read the date 2000 as 00, due to a programming trick in the 1960s which shortened the year to two digits, used to save storage space on mainframe computers. Compaq said that it will continue to manufacture products in its Asian plants in Singapore and China, but it is moving a lot of those products out of Asia and into Europe for selling. "So far, so good," Mason said. Mason said Compaq is on track for the fourth quarter and that he was comfortable with the current analysts' consensus estimate of 82 cents a share. Dell Computer Corp., (NASDAQ:DELL) which leads in the direct sales of PCs, said its business in Asia is still a small part of its overall revenues, with less than 10 percent of Dell's total revenues coming from Asia-Pacific and Japan. "We have a good news, bad news scenario," said Kevin Rollins, president, Dell Americas. "The good news is we buy a lot of components there, so we buy stuff in dollars," he said, adding that because of the drop in value in some currencies, Dell is paying less for certain parts, such as memory, keyboards, disk drives. Rollins also said most countries in Europe, with the exception of Germany appear "to be on a bit of a rebound." "It looks like it's got a bit of a spurt," he said. ****(Um.......and the Bad News????) Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE:HWP) said it is not yet seeing an impact from Asia on its business. Jacques Clay, vice president and general manager, personal systems unit, said the consumer market could be among the hardest hit. "These people lost 50 percent of their wealth," Clay said. "The consumer market will be impacted." H-P, he said, does not have a lot of PC business in Japan, and its business in Sinapore and China are not likely to be hurt. Malaysia is a problem area, he said, but not a big revenue source. "The U.S. is doing very well," Clay said. "We are the fastest growing PC maker...We have to stay where we are." International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE:IBM) said it expects a good quarter in PCs, and that the sub $1,000 PC will get more shoppers into the store. Last week, IBM introduced its first consumer Aptiva PC priced under $1,000. "I think the fourth quarter will be good," said James Firestone, general manager of IBM's consumer division. "There is a new price point of sub $1,000 and that will get a lot of people into the stores. I'm looking forward to a good holiday season."
Copyright 1997, Reuters News Service |