Stock and Bond Market-Timing: Can it be Done? Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock and Bond Market-Timing: Can it be Done?

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Nov 26 4:00 PM EST

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From: Honey_Bee	10/16/2011 12:25:51 PM
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To my knowledge, Bob Brinker has only recommended one oil stock in all these years and that was Suncor (SU) back in May 2009. The buy price was the "mid-$20 range." Beginning in June 2009, Bob recommended Suncor in the low-$30 range and each month thereafter, it was listed as a buy "below $33." Now here in October 2011, after it declined over 45% off its high (before recovering slightly), Marketimer simply says that Suncor is "attractive for purchase." Suncor has done a full round-trip ride from Bob's $27 buy price to a top of $47.73 in March 2011 and then lost all those gains, bottoming at $24 on October 3, 2011 -- lower than the original buy-price in 2009. (Yahoo lists the 52-week Range:22.55 - 48.53.) Be aware that Bob did not add Suncor to any of his model portfolios, rather he added it to his list of off-the-books stocks. So this will have no affect on his "official performance record" as reported by Hulbert Financial Digest. In the past, if stocks on that list do well, he will talk about the recommendation. But if stocks on that list go down, he sometimes removes them from the list and never mentions them again. Round trips are getting to be the norm for Bob Brinker's Marketimer model portfolios. Since March 2003, Brinker has been a buy and holder. No timing moves whatsoever in his model portfolios. In 2008, his stock portfolios both lost almost 40%. And now riding out another 20% decline in the S&P 500 during the past couple of months can't be fun for those who are still underwater from 2008 and 2009 -- like Bob's model portfolios are.... .

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