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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: J Mako who wrote (45494)11/16/2011 1:26:51 AM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Read Replies (2) of 78702
 
But I suppose everything is relative and there is a price for (almost) everything.

Paul Senior keeps making this point to me periodically. :)

If the P/B has gone down to 0.5, then a 8% ROE to the firm will become 16% to a shareholder.

Yes, but it's not exactly the same.
ROE is still 8% to the firm and it can only use the 8% (instead of 16%) to invest in growth/dividends/etc. ;)
If you look at longer term, the fact that you bought a 8%-earner for 50% cheaper than 16%-earner costs you in compounding. Here's the table - buying 100-20% earner for 100 and buying 200-10% earner for 100. And results in 10 years:

100 0.2 <- bought for 100
120 0.2
144 0.2
172.8 0.2
207.36 0.2
248.832 0.2
298.5984 0.2
358.3181 0.2
429.9817 0.2
515.978 0.2
619.1736 0.2

200 0.1 <- bought for 100
220 0.1
242 0.1
266.2 0.1
292.82 0.1
322.102 0.1
354.3122 0.1
389.7434 0.1
428.7178 0.1
471.5895 0.1
518.7485 0.1

Obviously this does not matter much for 2-3 year investors
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