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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: E_K_S who wrote (45629)11/22/2011 1:24:32 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (4) of 78433
 
My actions different from you on these, EKS.

PWE. I'm building a position as stock falls. I'm interested in the potential of Alberta's Cardium light oil.

"The Cardium trend in west central Alberta is one of the largest light oil plays in
North America. Penn West holds the largest single land position. Our 670,000 net
acres under lease represent approximately 40 percent of the prospective area,
and are estimated to contain significant light oil potential."

I am hoping this will be a long-term hold for me. The dividend will be important, but for me, not the determining factor to hold the stock.

CVX at current price and its current troubles (Brazil leak), looks like a better bargain to me than XOM. Hard to determine since XOM is generally considered the premier integrated oil company, and consequently the market generally gives it a premium multiple compared to competitors. I notice per Yahoo, XOM now has more debt than cash, CVX more cash than debt. Perhaps that's not relevant to anything though.

My preference is SU over COS. Just a personal preference at this time. Have had COS, didn't do well for me.

I'm going to build a position in SU. I hope as a long-term holding. I like oil analyst Charlie Maxwell. His advice is to avoid XOM because he says they can't replace their oil resources at their current consuming rate. Unlike SU, which he recommends, that has proven reserves that should last for many years.
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