2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum

GLD 387.19

-0.7%

Dec 2 4:00 PM EST

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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (83609)	11/24/2011 3:38:52 PM
From: bart13	2 Recommendations Read Replies (1) of 218149

Ok, so you don't get it yet. Excessive smoothing, which is what you're watching, severely understates what is actually going on - as you would see if you plotted the raw numbers against the smoothed numbers for every 11 year cycle over the last 50-100 years. To be excessively over the top to make the point, if I created a Dow chart back to 1900 and applied 20 year smoothing, the chart would be almost worthless. Your prediction appears to be expecting something like the cycle starting in 1966, but we've already blown those numbers completely out of the water - the two months average is well over 100. And the 10.7 cm flux existing data and extrapolation also shows we have much further to go, same with Ap and Kp. Be my guest on using excessively smoothed data but don't expect others to buy off on your conclusions - as in "It's not different this time."

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