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To: Dennis Roth who wrote (160725)	12/9/2011 11:11:28 AM
From: Dennis Roth	2 Recommendations Read Replies (2) of 206085

OT Global Equity Strategist — Euro Crisis, Global Contagion ir.citi.com Our economists believe the sovereign and banking crisis in the Euro Zone will lead to a protracted recession. We consider what a Euro Crisis will mean for equity markets around the world. Continental European Banks are amongst the most leveraged in the world. Further deleveraging may weigh on credit growth in Central and Eastern. US and UK Financials may win market share from their Euro peers. Euro exporters and Emerging Market equities should outperform as they benefit from a weaker currency and easier policy. Citi GPS — What Happens if the Euro Collapses? ir.citi.com A break-up of the Euro Area would be rather like the movie ‘War of the Roses' version of a divorce: disruptive, destructive and without any winners. A break-up of the 17-member state Euro Area, even a partial one involving the exit of one or more fiscally and competitively weak countries, would be chaotic. A full or comprehensive break-up, with the Euro Area splintering into a Greater DM zone and around 10 national currencies would create financial and economic pandemonium. It would not be a planned, orderly, gradual unwinding of existing political, economic and legal commitments and obligations.

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