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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread
VTI 336.14+0.9%Dec 19 4:00 PM EST

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To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (6845)12/13/2011 5:41:33 PM
From: gronieel2  Read Replies (2) of 10065
 
While the economic performance of the U.S. has improved recently, with third-quarter GDP expanding 2% and non-farm payrolls up by 120,000 in November (taking the unemployment rate down to 8.6%), the recovery faces substantial obstacles. According to the FOMC statement, “strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook.” Also, easing inflation expectations could, in extreme cases, lead to deflation, as Goldman Sachs’ economists have argued.

Bernanke has been able to manage expectations like an orchestra conductor, keeping quantitative easing in the arsenal while making it very clear that he’s ready to pull the trigger if needed. The bearded academic has indicated his inclination to pursue job growth at the expense of higher inflation if needed. It is more than clear that Bernanke fears deflation even more, raising the possibility that in the event of a market downturn, or extended periods of high unemployment, the Fed will have to unleash a QE3.

forbes.com




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