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Technology Stocks : Apple Tankwatch
AAPL 270.98-0.3%Jan 2 3:59 PM EST

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To: Cogito who wrote (14022)12/21/2011 6:18:19 PM
From: pyslent  Read Replies (2) of 32692
 
Allen, I think you need to nip this weaseling in the bud right here:

Is the bet about shipments (the revenue generating number that Apple reports) or sell-through?

If sell-through, you would have to agree a priori what will be considered the authority on sell through. Either agree on a research house, or agree on a formula of Apple reported shipments minus the increase in channel inventory reported on the call.

Personally, I believe that 30 million in shipments would be pretty darn impressive, but 30 million in sell-through would be astronomical. That would be going out on quite a limb.
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