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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: chainik who wrote (306637)1/19/2012 12:14:13 PM
From: chainik of 306849
 
1. Steady drop in volatility
2. SPX around 1300 by New Year. 1320 would be even better.
3. 1300 might be a reasonable short. Will re-evaluate if we get there.

Slower than expected, but we got there.

1300+excessive optimism confirmed by OEX, OCC, Hulbert, Rydex, smart/dumb spread, and insiders

More or less. OCC data and insiders are still neutral, though. I am selling but afraid to short.

A local tradable top early in February would make a lot of sense. I'll try to short nasdaq.
1340-1360 as the major top in the spring.


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